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Iran war will continue for another six months, former US defence secretary says

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Six months after US-Israeli strikes against Iran, the conflict has reached a stalemate following the collapse of a preliminary ceasefire plan.

Iran war will continue for another six months, former US defence secretary says

Key takeaways

  • The US war with Iran is likely to last another six months and risks becoming a forever war.
  • Reports of tensions between staff at the Pentagon are weakening the United States' standing.
  • Any attack against Iran's interests and security will receive a faster, heavier and more painful response.
  • The US blockade of Iran's oil exports is growing increasingly difficult to withstand.
  • Transits through the Strait of Hormuz are averaging over 9 million barrels a day, meaning the US Navy is winning that battle.

Six months after US-Israeli strikes against Iran, the conflict has reached a stalemate following the collapse of a preliminary ceasefire plan. Former US Defense Secretary Leon Panetta warned the war could continue for another six months, risking becoming another "forever war." Meanwhile, military tensions persist as US Central Command reported striking three Iranian tankers on Saturday after the IRGC launched ballistic missiles at US Navy ships. Despite Iran's blockade efforts, US Energy Secretary Chris Wright stated that oil transits through the Strait of Hormuz are averaging over 9 million barrels a day.

The conflict risks becoming an unresolved long-term war amid diplomatic breakdown and ongoing military exchanges.

Watch the brief

In their words

“It’s no mystery that the United States and Iran are caught in a terrible stalemate, in which there really are very few options available to bring this war to an end.”
Leon Panetta, Former US defence secretary
“From now on, any attack against Iran’s interests and security will receive a faster, heavier and more painful response.”
Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, Iran's parliament speaker

By the numbers

6 months
Duration Leon Panetta expects the war to continue
3
Iranian tankers hit by US Central Command
2
US navy ships targeted by Iranian ballistic missiles
9M
Average daily barrels of oil transiting the Strait
2/3
Pre-conflict oil flows currently getting through

How it unfolded

  1. June 2026 Peace negotiations broke down
  2. Saturday US hits three Iranian tankers after missile attacks
  3. Sunday Iran's parliament speaker warns rules of game changed

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Source: Independent World

Common questions

What happened with US-Iran war?
Any attack against Iran's interests and security will receive a faster, heavier and more painful response.
Where can I read the original report?
Read the full report at Independent World.

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